Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Deportivo La Guaira and Hermanos Colmenares.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo La Guaira win with a probability of 47.46%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Hermanos Colmenares had a probability of 25.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo La Guaira win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Hermanos Colmenares win it was 0-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo La Guaira would win this match.