Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
36.76% | 25.57% | 37.67% |
Both teams to score 55.74% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.75% | 48.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.6% | 70.4% |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.41% | 25.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.53% | 60.47% |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.91% | 25.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.22% | 59.78% |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
1-0 @ 8.75% 2-1 @ 8.25% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 3.75% 3-0 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.76% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 8.88% 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-2 @ 6.14% 1-3 @ 3.86% 0-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 0.98% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.75% Total : 37.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 47 | 25 | 22 | 41 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 40 |
3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 31 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 28 |
7 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 27 |
8 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Macarthur | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 25 |
11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 24 |
12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 23 |
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