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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Apr 28, 2021 at 10.05am UK at Bluetongue Stadium, Gosford
Central Coast
0 - 4
Brisbane Roar

Stensness (29'), Tongyik (67')
Urena (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gillesphey (19'), Champness (56'), Parsons (89'), Kudo (90+3')
Akbari (44'), Brindell-South (64')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawBrisbane Roar
36.76%25.57%37.67%
Both teams to score 55.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.75%48.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.6%70.4%
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41%25.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.53%60.47%
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91%25.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.22%59.78%
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 36.76%
    Brisbane Roar 37.67%
    Draw 25.57%
Central Coast MarinersDrawBrisbane Roar
1-0 @ 8.75%
2-1 @ 8.25%
2-0 @ 5.96%
3-1 @ 3.75%
3-0 @ 2.71%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 36.76%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 6.42%
2-2 @ 5.7%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 8.88%
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-2 @ 6.14%
1-3 @ 3.86%
0-3 @ 2.83%
2-3 @ 2.63%
1-4 @ 1.33%
0-4 @ 0.98%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 37.67%

How you voted: Central Coast vs Brisbane Roar

Central Coast Mariners
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Brisbane Roar
40.0%
40
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2020 8.30am
Jan 25, 2020 6am
Nov 30, 2019 6am
Brisbane Roar
2-0
Central Coast
O'Donovan (61'), Neville (66')

Gallifuoco (10'), Oar (39'), Rowles (48'), Eun-seon (78')
Feb 22, 2019 8.50am
Central Coast
3-5
Brisbane Roar
Pain (38'), O'Neill (45'), Murray (82')
Simon (18'), O'Neill (35'), Rowles (52'), Pain (67'), Karacan (72')
O'Neill (62'), Simon (95')
Bautheac (31'), Lopez (36', 54'), Mikkelsen (45'), Wenzel-Halls (74')
Bautheac (76')
Jan 20, 2019 8am
Central Coast
1-1
Brisbane Roar
Millar (3')
Simon (19'), Rowles (30'), Melling (42'), Murray (80')
DeVere (45')
Bowles (12'), DeVere (38'), Pepper (52'), Bautheac (75'), McKay (92')
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