Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.
