Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 61.66%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 20.12% and a draw had a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 (4.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.