Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 51.36%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 24.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-0 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
