Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
