Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Perugia would win this match.
