Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.
