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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Roma logo
Fiorentina
2 - 0
Roma
Gonzalez (5' pen.), Bonaventura (11')
Amrabat (19'), Bonaventura (28'), Duncan (49')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mancini (24')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Roma

While Fiorentina have recently stumbled, they are usually a tough nut to crack in Florence, and their visitors may have one eye on an upcoming European final. Roma's need to rotate could also dilute their chances of posting a vital away win, so they will have to settle for just a point against ambitious opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawRoma
47.06% (1.919 1.92) 23.66% (-0.286 -0.29) 29.28% (-1.634 -1.63)
Both teams to score 59.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.18% (0.451 0.45)41.82% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.78% (0.453 0.45)64.22% (-0.455 -0.45)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.01% (0.955 0.95)17.99% (-0.958 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.15% (1.614 1.61)48.85% (-1.617 -1.62)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.94% (-0.842 -0.84)27.06% (0.839 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.57% (-1.113 -1.11)62.43% (1.111 1.11)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 47.06%
    Roma 29.28%
    Draw 23.65%
FiorentinaDrawRoma
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.16 0.16)
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.086 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.16% (0.288 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.25 0.25)
3-0 @ 4.1% (0.283 0.28)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.084 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.174 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.171 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 47.06%
1-1 @ 10.91% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.87% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.271 -0.27)
0-1 @ 6.36% (-0.287 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.293 -0.29)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 29.28%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Roma

Fiorentina
24.3%
Draw
27.6%
Roma
48.1%
210
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
Roma
3-1
Fiorentina
Mkhitaryan (26'), Veretout (64', 79')
Pellegrini (13'), Zaniolo (44')
Zaniolo (52')
Milenkovic (60')
Bonaventura (45+3'), Pulgar (53')
Dragowski (17')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
1-2
Roma
Spinazzola (60' og.)
Ribery (71')
Spinazzola (49'), Diawara (88')
Mancini (40'), Kumbulla (74')
Nov 1, 2020 5pm
Roma
2-0
Fiorentina
Spinazzola (12'), Pedro (70')
Dzeko (24'), Veretout (33'), Cristante (90+1')

Castrovilli (32'), Lirola (51')
Martinez (88')
Jul 26, 2020 6.30pm
Roma
2-1
Fiorentina
Veretout (45' pen., 87' pen.)
Mancini (90+6')
Milenkovic (54')
Pezzella (35'), Caceres (72'), Ghezzal (86'), Pezzella (88'), Milenkovic (90+6')
Dec 20, 2019 7.45pm
Fiorentina
1-4
Roma
Badelj (34')
Pezzella (21'), Caceres (45'), Castrovilli (64'), Vlahovic (89')
Dzeko (19'), Kolarov (21'), Pellegrini (73'), Zaniolo (88')
Zaniolo (38'), Kolarov (45'), Diawara (57')
rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli36275473264786
2Inter Milan372231270422869
3Lazio36208855282768
4AC Milan361810860421864
5Atalanta BCAtalanta371871261461561
6Roma371791148371160
7Juventus36216955322359
8Fiorentina371411125042853
9Torino371411124240253
10Monza361410124646052
11Bologna361311124845350
12Udinese371113134747046
13SassuoloSassuolo37129164658-1245
14Empoli361012143646-1042
15Salernitana37915134860-1242
16Lecce36712173043-1333
17SpeziaSpezia37613183060-3031
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3679202955-2630
19Cremonese36412203266-3424
RSampdoria37310242469-4519

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