Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
