Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.