Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.