Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stranraer in this match.
