Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
