Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 51.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 22.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.