Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 56.43%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 17.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.32%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
