Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Celtic Reserves had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Celtic Reserves win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.