Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.
