Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 45.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 26.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
