Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Lille |
20.68% | 25.57% | 53.75% |
Both teams to score 45.26% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.17% | 56.83% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.24% | 77.76% |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.44% | 42.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.08% | 78.92% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.8% | 21.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.92% | 54.08% |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 7.71% 2-1 @ 5.11% 2-0 @ 3.29% 3-1 @ 1.45% 3-2 @ 1.13% 3-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.06% Total : 20.68% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 9.02% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.63% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 13.99% 0-2 @ 10.85% 1-2 @ 9.27% 0-3 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 4.8% 0-4 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.13% Total : 53.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |