Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lille in this match.
