Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 50.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 24.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
