Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Lens had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Marseille |
29.66% | 26.3% | 44.04% |
Both teams to score 51.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.97% | 53.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.38% | 74.62% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.48% | 32.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.95% | 69.05% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.05% | 23.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.83% | 58.17% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 8.75% 2-1 @ 7.02% 2-0 @ 4.91% 3-1 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 1.88% 3-0 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.66% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.79% 2-2 @ 5.02% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 8.94% 0-2 @ 7.95% 1-3 @ 4.26% 0-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.52% 0-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.71% Total : 44.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 76 | 34 | 42 | 75 |
2 | Marseille | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 70 |
3 | Lens | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 69 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 66 | 50 | 16 | 61 |
5 | Lille | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 40 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 56 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 53 |
8 | Nice | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 51 |
9 | Clermont | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 49 |
10 | Lorient | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 48 |
11 | Reims | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 47 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 13 | 4 | 16 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 43 |
13 | Toulouse | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 41 |
14 | Brest | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 35 |
15 | Auxerre | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 55 | -24 | 33 |
16 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 32 |
17 | NantesNantes | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 32 |
18 | Troyes | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 22 |
19 | Ajaccio | 33 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 61 | -39 | 22 |
R | Angers | 33 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 27 | 72 | -45 | 14 |
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