Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Lens had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Nice in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nice.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Lens |
37.74% | 27.14% | 35.12% |
Both teams to score 50.4% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.01% | 54.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.74% | 76.26% |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.79% | 28.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.09% | 63.9% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.2% | 29.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.13% | 65.87% |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 10.63% 2-1 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.77% Total : 37.73% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.4% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 10.17% 1-2 @ 7.8% 0-2 @ 6.16% 1-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.41% Total : 35.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 52 | 16 | 36 | 51 |
2 | Marseille | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 46 |
3 | Lens | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 45 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 41 |
5 | Rennes | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 40 |
6 | Lille | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 35 |
7 | Lorient | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 35 |
8 | Nice | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 31 |
9 | Clermont | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 30 |
10 | Lyon | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 29 |
11 | Reims | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 29 |
12 | Toulouse | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 29 |
13 | NantesNantes | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 22 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 20 |
15 | Brest | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 19 |
16 | Troyes | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 19 |
17 | Ajaccio | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 18 |
18 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 21 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Auxerre | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 46 | -28 | 13 |
20 | Angers | 21 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 18 | 47 | -29 | 8 |
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