Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Nice had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
