Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 64.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 13.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.3%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.