MX23RW : Saturday, May 6 20:06:30| >> :600:204244:204244:
Grimsby Town
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
Plymouth Argyle
Grimsby Town
5 - 1
Plymouth
Smith (10'), Efete (33'), Kiernan (39', 58'), Glennon (45+7')
Khan (49'), Smith (87')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Randell (5')
Butcher (70')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Grimsby Town and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hartlepool 2-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Plymouth 4-2 Exeter
Monday, October 31 at 8pm in League One

We said: Grimsby Town 0-2 Plymouth Argyle

Plymouth Argyle are in red-hot form, and they should be able to sail through to the second round. Grimsby Town have not won in three games, and we cannot see this run ending against the team that are top of the division above. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
33.92% (0.037999999999997 0.04) 24.72% (0.014999999999997 0.01) 41.37% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 58.29% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.23% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)44.77% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.87% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)67.13% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)25.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.47% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)21.66% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.2% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)54.8% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 33.92%
    Plymouth Argyle 41.37%
    Draw 24.71%
Grimsby TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 7.56% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.15% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 33.92%
1-1 @ 11.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.54% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.71%
1-2 @ 8.84% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 8.48% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 41.37%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Plymouth

Grimsby Town
14.3%
Draw
23.8%
Plymouth Argyle
61.9%
21
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2020 7.45pm
Nov 4, 2017 3pm
May 6, 2017 5.30pm
Grimsby Town
1-1
Plymouth
Pearson (1')
Disley (54'), Jones (75'), Pearson (79'), Dyson (93')
Spencer (61')
Fox (76')
Nov 19, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

Ted Lasso creative

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!