MX23RW : Friday, May 19 10:28:42| >> :120:45030:45030:
Union Berlin logo
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Braga
Union Berlin
1 - 0
Braga
Knoche (68' pen.)
Thorsby (33'), Ryerson (72'), Ronnow (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Silva (39'), Castro (47'), Ruiz (45+2'), Horta (90+5')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Union Berlin and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 0-2 Braga
Saturday, October 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Union Berlin 1-0 Braga

We expect a very cagey affair at Stadion An der Alten Forsterei, with both teams knowing the significance of this fixture in terms of progressing to the knockout stages. Whichever team scores first will feel confident of getting the result that they need, and we are backing Union Berlin to do so and hold on for a vital victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Braga had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawBraga
46.53% (0.072000000000003 0.07) 25.18% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 28.28% (-0.084 -0.08)
Both teams to score 53.99% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.82% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)49.17% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.76% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)71.24% (0.080999999999989 0.08)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.85% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)21.15% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.99% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)54.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.47% (-0.111 -0.11)31.53% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.08% (-0.126 -0.13)67.92% (0.125 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 46.53%
    Braga 28.28%
    Draw 25.18%
Union BerlinDrawBraga
1-0 @ 10.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.05% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.87%
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 46.53%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 28.28%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Braga

Union Berlin
73.7%
Draw
14.7%
Braga
11.6%
190
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2022 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City35274492316185
2Arsenal36256583424181
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361912567323569
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd35206951411066
5Liverpool36198970422865
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351771167491858
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs36176136559657
8Aston Villa36176134844457
9Brentford36131495445953
10Fulham36156155249351
11Chelsea351110143641-543
12Crystal Palace361110153746-943
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36117183052-2240
14Bournemouth36116193769-3239
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham36107193852-1437
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest36810183667-3134
17Everton36711183256-2432
18Leeds UnitedLeeds36710194671-2531
19Leicester CityLeicester3686224967-1830
RSouthampton3666243166-3524

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