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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 54.14%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 23.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
54.14% ( -0.24) | 22.55% ( 0.01) | 23.31% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 57.92% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.25% ( 0.2) | 41.75% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.84% ( 0.2) | 64.15% ( -0.2) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.61% ( -0.01) | 15.39% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.81% ( -0.02) | 44.19% ( 0.02) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.45% ( 0.3) | 31.55% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.06% ( 0.35) | 67.94% ( -0.35) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 54.14% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.55% | 1-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.6% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 23.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 25 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 56 | 23 | 33 | 58 |
2 | Ajax | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 55 |
3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 53 |
4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 66 | 30 | 36 | 52 |
5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 46 |
6 | FC Twente | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 44 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 32 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 25 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 31 |
10 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 31 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 29 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
13 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 |
14 | Vitesse | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 23 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 21 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 20 |
17 | Groningen | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 16 |
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