MX23RW : Sunday, May 28 06:38:21| >> :120:27564:27564:
Freiburg logo
DFB-Pokal | Semi-Finals
May 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Leipzig logo
Freiburg
1 - 5
RB Leipzig
Gregoritsch (75')
Kubler (68'), Sallai (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Olmo (13'), Henrichs (14'), Szoboszlai (37', 90+7' pen.), Nkunku (45+1')
Nkunku (60'), Blaswich (69'), Laimer (85')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Freiburg and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-0 Hoffenheim
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-1 RB Leipzig

Despite Leipzig's seven-match unbeaten run against Freiburg, the home side's motivation to beat the Red Bulls and make another final should see them edge Rose's troops. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawRB Leipzig
30.01% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 23.68% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 46.3% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 60.2% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.48% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)41.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.09% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)63.91%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (0.027999999999992 0.03)26.42% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41% (0.038000000000004 0.04)61.59% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.82% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)18.17% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.84% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)49.16% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 30.01%
    RB Leipzig 46.3%
    Draw 23.68%
FreiburgDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 7.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.22% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.89% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 30.01%
1-1 @ 10.89%
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.8%
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 8.19% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.25% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.69% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 46.3%

How you voted: Freiburg vs RB Leipzig

Freiburg
57.4%
Draw
13.1%
RB Leipzig
29.5%
122
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 7.30pm
gameweek 14
RB Leipzig
3-1
Freiburg
Simakan (54'), Nkunku (56'), Forsberg (78' pen.)
Kubler (66')
Doan (41')
May 21, 2022 7pm
Final
Freiburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig win 4-2 on penalties
Eggestein (19')
Kubler (81'), Lienhart (90'), Demirovic (113')
Nkunku (76')
Simakan (57'), Kampl (57'), Forsberg (82'), Tedesco (90+2'), Kampl (119')
Halstenberg (57')
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Oct 16, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 8
Freiburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
Woo-yeong (64')
Forsberg (32' pen.)
Marsch (36'), Haidara (44'), Gvardiol (57'), Simakan (85'), Mukiele (89')
Mar 6, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 24
Freiburg
0-3
RB Leipzig

Hofler (52')
Nkunku (41'), Sorloth (64'), Forsberg (79')
Hee-chan (75')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City37285494326289
2Arsenal37256683434081
3Manchester UnitedMan Utd37226956421472
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle371913567323570
5Liverpool37199971432866
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton371881171512062
7Aston Villa37177134945458
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs37176146662457
9Brentford371414957461156
10Fulham37157155451352
11Crystal Palace371111153948-944
12Chelsea371110163746-943
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37118183153-2241
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham37117194153-1240
15Bournemouth37116203770-3339
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest37910183767-3037
17Everton37712183357-2433
18Leicester CityLeicester3787224967-1831
19Leeds UnitedLeeds37710204774-2731
RSouthampton3766253269-3724

Real Madrid Until The End
Ted Lasso creative

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!