Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 21.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Lanus win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
