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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-0 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
26.07% | 23.9% | 50.03% |
Both teams to score 56.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.81% | 45.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.47% | 67.54% |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.87% | 31.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.54% | 67.46% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.87% | 18.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.91% | 49.09% |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
1-0 @ 6.59% 2-1 @ 6.56% 2-0 @ 3.84% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.85% Total : 26.07% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 5.65% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 9.64% 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-2 @ 8.23% 1-3 @ 5.47% 0-3 @ 4.68% 2-3 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 2.33% 0-4 @ 2% 2-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.52% Total : 50.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 83 | 34 | 49 | 65 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 73 | 40 | 33 | 64 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 57 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 56 |
5 | Freiburg | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 56 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 48 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 46 |
8 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 45 |
9 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 51 | 49 | 2 | 43 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 39 |
11 | FC Koln | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 38 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 35 |
13 | Augsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 34 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 32 |
15 | Schalke 04Schalke | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 30 |
16 | Stuttgart | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 28 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 33 | 69 | -36 | 28 |
18 | Hertha Berlin | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 25 |
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