Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.