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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
40.45% | 24.14% | 35.4% |
Both teams to score 60.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.25% | 41.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.85% | 64.15% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.2% | 20.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.54% | 53.45% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.66% | 23.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.7% | 57.29% |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 8.71% 1-0 @ 7.62% 2-0 @ 5.98% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-2 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.81% Total : 40.45% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 8.07% 0-1 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 5.14% 1-3 @ 3.91% 2-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.21% Total : 35.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 55 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 53 |
3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 51 |
4 | Freiburg | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 47 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 45 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 41 |
7 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 40 |
8 | Mainz 05Mainz | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 40 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 39 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 32 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 31 |
12 | Augsburg | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 29 |
13 | FC Koln | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 28 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 28 | 57 | -29 | 26 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 25 |
16 | Hertha Berlin | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 22 |
17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 21 |
18 | Stuttgart | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 20 |
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