The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Ajax and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.81%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 6.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.01%) and 3-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (4.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
53.81% | 18.04% | 28.16% |
Both teams to score 80.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
84.82% | 15.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
69.1% | 30.9% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.39% | 6.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.43% | 24.57% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.31% | 13.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.08% | 40.92% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax 53.81%
Borussia Dortmund 28.16%
Draw 18.04%
Ajax | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 6.64% 3-1 @ 6.01% 3-2 @ 5.98% 4-1 @ 4.08% 4-2 @ 4.06% 2-0 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 3.03% 4-3 @ 2.69% 1-0 @ 2.46% 5-1 @ 2.22% 5-2 @ 2.21% 4-0 @ 2.05% 5-3 @ 1.46% 5-0 @ 1.12% 6-1 @ 1.01% 6-2 @ 1% Other @ 4.45% Total : 53.81% | 2-2 @ 6.6% 1-1 @ 4.89% 3-3 @ 3.96% 4-4 @ 1.34% 0-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.34% Total : 18.04% | 1-2 @ 4.86% 2-3 @ 4.38% 1-3 @ 3.22% 2-4 @ 2.18% 3-4 @ 1.97% 0-1 @ 1.8% 0-2 @ 1.79% 1-4 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 5.18% Total : 28.16% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Dortmund
Ajax
41.2%Draw
14.9%Borussia Dortmund
43.9%478
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2012 7.45pm
Form Guide
Did you know...?
rhs 2.0
LT: 2022-06-30 23:27:42
Club Friendlies 1
Swedish Allsvenskan
League of Ireland Premier
Belarusian Premier League
Copa Libertadores
Copa Sudamericana
Major League Soccer
Argentine Primera Division
European Under-19s Championship
Tables
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Brentford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Everton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Fulham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Leicester CityLeicester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Liverpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Manchester CityMan City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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