Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 38.77% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 6.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.28%) and 3-1 (4.99%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.