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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 59.86%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 21.08% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (5.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | RB Leipzig |
59.86% | 19.07% | 21.08% |
Both teams to score 67.7% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.3% | 27.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.63% | 48.38% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.74% | 9.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.72% | 31.29% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.6% | 25.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.79% | 60.21% |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 9.13% 3-1 @ 7.24% 2-0 @ 6.66% 1-0 @ 5.6% 3-0 @ 5.28% 3-2 @ 4.96% 4-1 @ 4.31% 4-0 @ 3.14% 4-2 @ 2.95% 5-1 @ 2.05% 5-0 @ 1.5% 5-2 @ 1.41% 4-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 4.29% Total : 59.86% | 1-1 @ 7.67% 2-2 @ 6.25% 0-0 @ 2.35% 3-3 @ 2.27% Other @ 0.53% Total : 19.07% | 1-2 @ 5.26% 0-1 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.86% 1-3 @ 2.4% 0-2 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.01% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.15% Total : 21.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 90 | 37 | 53 | 68 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 42 | 36 | 67 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 60 | 39 | 21 | 63 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 59 |
5 | Freiburg | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 55 | 44 | 11 | 49 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 49 |
8 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 47 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 49 | 2 | 45 |
10 | FC Koln | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 39 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 51 | 63 | -12 | 36 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 35 |
14 | Augsburg | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 34 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 32 |
16 | Schalke 04Schalke | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 31 |
17 | Stuttgart | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 29 |
18 | Hertha Berlin | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 40 | 68 | -28 | 26 |
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