Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 53.65%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 23.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Tigre win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
