Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.