Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 51.48%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
