Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
