Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
