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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon
5 - 1
Cardiff MU
Bradley (4', 37', 58'), Davies (49'), Clarke (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Donohue (52' og.)
Craven (32'), H (76')
Craven (81')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caernarfon 3-0 Aberystwyth
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-1 Newtown
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
31.21% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 24.67% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 44.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.42% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.54% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)45.47% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.21% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)67.8% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.4% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)27.61% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.86% (-0.058 -0.06)63.14% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)20.69% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.72% (-0.061 -0.06)53.29% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 31.21%
    Cardiff MU 44.12%
    Draw 24.67%
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
2-1 @ 7.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 7.35% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 31.21%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.71% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.67%
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 9% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.09% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.72%
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.89% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 44.12%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Cardiff MU
0-3
Caernarfon
Donohue (62' pen.), O'Rourke (72', 89')
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Caernarfon
5-1
Cardiff MU
Wynne (3', 25'), Thomas (42', 88'), Lang (73' og.)
Edwards (80')
Evans (30')
Chubb (73'), Price (82')
May 7, 2022 5.15pm
Caernarfon
1-0
Cardiff MU
Hayes (45+1')
Donohue (63'), Thomas (72')

Chubb (78')
Apr 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Caernarfon
2-0
Cardiff MU
Mendes (31'), Harrison (67')

Craven (43'), Roscrow (68')
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Cardiff MU
0-0
Caernarfon
Price (84')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-428
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813

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