Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
