Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.
