Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.
