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Galatasaray
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 13
Nov 21, 2021 at 4pm UK
Turk Telekom Arena
Galatasaray
1 - 2
Fenerbahce
Akturkoglu (16')
Kutlu (25'), Marcao (35'), Muslera (35'), Terim (45+3'), Nelsson (66'), Terim (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ozil (31'), Crespo (90+4')
Tisserand (24'), Ozer (35'), Hakan Yandas (35'), Kahveci (90+7')
Tisserand (82')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Galatasaray and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Galatasaray and Fenerbahce meet in the first Intercontinental Derby of the season in the Turkish Super Lig on Sunday. Just one point separates the two teams in the table going into the game, with Gala fourth on 21 points and the Yellow Canaries seventh on 20 points.

Match preview

Both clubs were involved in an enthralling title race last season but ended up narrowly losing out to Besiktas; Galatasaray finished second on goal difference only and Fenerbahce were two points further behind in third. Traditionally the two powerhouses of Turkish football, the pair's grip on domestic dominance has slipped in recent years. Galatasaray were last crowned champions in 2019 and have not gone three years without the title since 2011; they trail current leaders Trabzonspor by nine points. Fatih Terim is in his fourth spell as manager and has not lost in seven games against Fenerbahce since returning, although five of those have been draws. Gala have won four of their last six Super Lig games, but drew 1-1 against Fatih Karagumruk a fortnight ago as Mostafa Mohamed scored an 88th-minute equaliser. Terim's side have recorded four victories from five league matches at Nef Stadium this season, conceding just three goals. Fenerbahce have not won the title since 2014, while their third-placed finish last season was their highest ranking in three years. Portuguese Vitor Pereira was appointed manager in the summer and got off to an excellent start in the dugout, winning six of the opening eight league matches to earn top spot at the start of October. However, since then, Fenerbahce have gone four matches without victory and a 2-2 draw against Kayserispor before the international break ended a run of three straight defeats. The Yellow Canaries were 2-0 down with five minutes of normal time left, before Miha Zajc halved the deficit and then substitute Mesut Ozil scored a 99th-minute penalty to equalise in dramatic circumstances. Fenerbahce, searching for their first win over Galatasaray since April 2017, have not kept a clean sheet since the end of August.
Galatasaray Turkish Super Lig form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
Galatasaray form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
Fenerbahce Turkish Super Lig form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
Fenerbahce form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D

Team News

Fatih Terim is set to give the nod to Mostafa Mohamed up-front after the Egyptian came off the bench to score against Fatih Karagumruk. That is likely to see Halil Dervisoglu moved out wide if Terim sticks with a lone striker system, or the pair could start in attack together. Romanian Olimpiu Morutan returned from international duty with a slight injury issue but trained on Friday and is expected to feature. Mesut Ozil is expected to start for Fenerbahce after only being fit enough for the bench before the international break. Irfan Kahveci suffered an injury against Kayserispor but has recovered; Luiz Gustavo and Enner Valencia remain sidelined. Goalkeeper Berke Ozer has not trained in recent days in the hope of easing a back strain; first choice shot-stopper Altay Bayindir is already out. Galatasaray possible starting lineup: Muslera; Yedlin, Nelsson, Marcao, Bayram; Kutlu; Dervisoglu, Morutan, Cicaldau, Akturkoglu; Mohamed Fenerbahce possible starting lineup: Ozer; Tisserand, Kim, Szalai; Zajc; Sangare, Meyer, Yandas, Ozil; Kahveci, Berisha

We said: Galatasaray 2-1 Fenerbahce

Not only will both sides want to secure local bragging rights, they will also be desperate not to lose any more ground in the title race. That will make an already feisty fixture even more intense, but we think that Galatasaray should just have the edge given their home record and Fenerbahce's worrying run of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Fenerbahce had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Fenerbahce win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
GalatasarayDrawFenerbahce
44.81%24.47%30.72%
Both teams to score 57.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.22%44.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.86%67.14%
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9%20.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.64%52.35%
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.41%27.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.89%63.11%
Score Analysis
    Galatasaray 44.81%
    Fenerbahce 30.72%
    Draw 24.46%
GalatasarayDrawFenerbahce
2-1 @ 9.19%
1-0 @ 8.9%
2-0 @ 7.14%
3-1 @ 4.92%
3-0 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 3.17%
4-1 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 44.81%
1-1 @ 11.45%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.46%
1-2 @ 7.38%
0-1 @ 7.14%
0-2 @ 4.6%
1-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 1.97%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 30.72%

How you voted: Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce

Galatasaray
59.5%
Draw
24.3%
Fenerbahce
16.2%
37
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2021 4pm
gameweek 24
Fenerbahce
0-1
Galatasaray

Hakan Yandas (17'), Erkin (90+9')
Mohamed (54')
Saracchi (28'), Linnes (81')
Sep 27, 2020 5pm
gameweek 3
Galatasaray
0-0
Fenerbahce

Luyindama (15'), Falcao (47'), Turan (61'), Antalyali (62'), Etebo (82'), Marcao (85'), Belhanda (86')

Sosa (12'), Tisserand (23'), Gonul (70'), Gustavo (90+1')
Feb 23, 2020 4pm
gameweek 23
Fenerbahce
1-3
Galatasaray
Kruse (21' pen.)
Aziz (16'), Tufan (36'), Arslan (50'), Dirar (54'), Isla (58')
E. (67'), Turuc (85')
Donk (40'), Falcao (80' pen.), Onyekuru (90')
Belhanda (20'), Falcao (36'), Michael Seri (58'), Donk (68'), Mariano (74'), Andone (90'), Onyekuru (90')
Belhanda (86')
Sep 28, 2019 6pm
Apr 14, 2019 5pm
gameweek 28
Fenerbahce
1-1
Galatasaray
Elmas (71')
Topal (21'), Moses (35'), Valbuena (45'), Arslan (58'), Soldado (94')
Ali Kaldirim (45')
Onyekuru (66')
Belhanda (18'), Mariano (52'), Onyekuru (70'), Gumus (99')
Content continues below the video

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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray33254473264779
2Fenerbahce32225579394071
3BesiktasBesiktas33218466303671
4Adana Demirspor32189569373263
5Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul321571045341152
6KonyasporKonyaspor33121384536949
7KayserisporKayserispor33154145457-349
8TrabzonsporTrabzonspor32146125047348
9Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk3211111068581044
10AlanyasporAlanyaspor34118155262-1041
11KasimpasaKasimpasa33117154052-1240
12AntalyasporAntalyaspor32107154351-837
13SivassporSivasspor34107174453-937
14AnkaragucuAnkaragucu32106163846-836
15Istanbulspor33105184061-2135
16Giresunspor32710153456-2231
17UmraniyesporUmraniyespor3269174357-1427
18GaziantepGaziantep3267193160-2925
19Hatayspor3265211971-5223

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