Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Fenerbahce had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Fenerbahce win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.