Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 57.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Como had a probability of 19.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
