Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Lazio |
25.93% | 24.04% | 50.03% |
Both teams to score 55.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.09% | 45.91% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.78% | 68.22% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.37% | 31.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.96% | 68.03% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.59% | 18.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.44% | 49.55% |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 6.7% 2-1 @ 6.53% 2-0 @ 3.86% 3-1 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.74% Total : 25.93% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 0-0 @ 5.82% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.04% | 0-1 @ 9.85% 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-2 @ 8.34% 1-3 @ 5.42% 0-3 @ 4.7% 2-3 @ 3.12% 1-4 @ 2.29% 0-4 @ 1.99% 2-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.4% Total : 50.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 58 | 15 | 43 | 65 |
2 | Inter Milan | 24 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 47 |
3 | AC Milan | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 47 |
4 | Lazio | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 19 | 21 | 45 |
5 | Roma | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 44 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 41 |
7 | Bologna | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 35 |
8 | Juventus | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 32 |
9 | Torino | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 31 |
10 | Udinese | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 31 |
11 | Monza | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 29 |
12 | Fiorentina | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 28 |
13 | Empoli | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 28 |
14 | SassuoloSassuolo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 27 |
15 | Lecce | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
16 | Salernitana | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 17 |
19 | Sampdoria | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 11 |
20 | Cremonese | 23 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 9 |
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